AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov
Conference League • Tuesday, July 07, 2026 • 20:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 carries strong value here, supported by a 68.76% model probability, 77.68% BTTS rate, and combined xG of 3.12. The market price of 1.78 offers an elite edge, though the medium-risk label reflects some variance.
AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give AF Elbasani an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Bate Borisov. The attacking ratings are 69 and 67, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives AF Elbasani the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.83 for AF Elbasani and 1.29 for Bate Borisov, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 68.76% and both teams to score at 77.68%.
Confidence
80%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.83 - 1.29AF Elbasani vs Bate BorisovProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. AF Elbasani win probability is 43.48%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Bate Borisov win probability is 34.52%. Expected goals: AF Elbasani 1.83, Bate Borisov 1.29. Recent form: AF Elbasani WWLL (6 pts), Bate Borisov LLLWD (4 pts).
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