Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 18:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 carries strong value here, supported by a 65.76% model probability, 76.68% BTTS rate and combined xG of 3.12. Alashkert hold a slight edge, but Yelimay’s scoring profile keeps the game open.
Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Alashkert an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Yelimay Semey. The attacking ratings are 78 and 76, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Yelimay Semey the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.89 for Alashkert and 1.23 for Yelimay Semey, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.76% and both teams to score at 76.68%.
Confidence
67%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.70Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.89 - 1.23Alashkert vs Yelimay SemeyProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Alashkert win probability is 47.33%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Yelimay Semey win probability is 34.67%. Expected goals: Alashkert 1.89, Yelimay Semey 1.23. Recent form: Alashkert LWWWD (10 pts), Yelimay Semey WWLLW (9 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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