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Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence64%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Alashkert an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Yelimay Semey. The attacking ratings are 78 and 76, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Yelimay Semey the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.83 for Alashkert and 1.29 for Yelimay Semey, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.76% and both teams to score at 73.68%.

Confidence

64%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.83 - 1.29Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAlashkert
43.45%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinYelimay Semey
34.55%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.76%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.68%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Alashkert win probability is 43.45%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Yelimay Semey win probability is 34.55%. Expected goals: Alashkert 1.83, Yelimay Semey 1.29. Recent form: Alashkert N/A (0 pts), Yelimay Semey N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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