Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
La Liga • Sunday, May 24, 2026 • 18:00
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Pre-Match Data
Alaves enter this La Liga fixture ranked 14 with 43 points from 38 matches, while Rayo Vallecano sit 8 with 50 points. Rayo Vallecano hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Rayo Vallecano carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Alaves have scored 44 and conceded 56, giving them a goal difference of -12. Rayo Vallecano have scored 41 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -3. On that measure, Rayo Vallecano show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Alaves's form string is LWWDL, while Rayo Vallecano's latest sequence is WWDDW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Alaves an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Rayo Vallecano. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Alaves the model-rating edge. PuntVault's.
Confidence
38%Low ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.50Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.40 - 1.40Alaves vs Rayo VallecanoProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Alaves win probability is 32.94%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Rayo Vallecano win probability is 55.06%. Expected goals: Alaves 1.23, Rayo Vallecano 1.83.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More La Liga Predictions
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