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Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Away Win

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level High Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Aluminij an overall score of 61 compared with 78 for Sheriff Tiraspol. The attacking ratings are 63 and 80, while form ratings stand at 61 and 78. This gives Sheriff Tiraspol the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.41 for Aluminij and 1.67 for Sheriff Tiraspol, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.08. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.04% and both teams to score at 73.12%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

High Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.41 - 1.67 Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAluminij
35.15%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinSheriff Tiraspol
46.85%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.12%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-8.14%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Aluminij win probability is 35.15%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Sheriff Tiraspol win probability is 46.85%. Expected goals: Aluminij 1.41, Sheriff Tiraspol 1.67. Recent form: Aluminij N/A (0 pts), Sheriff Tiraspol N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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