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Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (34.69% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence45%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Aluminij an overall score of 68 compared with 67 for Sheriff Tiraspol. The attacking ratings are 63 and 80, while form ratings stand at 68 and 67. This gives Aluminij the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.73 for Aluminij and 1.38 for Sheriff Tiraspol, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 34.69%.

Confidence

45%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.73 - 1.38Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAluminij
37.99%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinSheriff Tiraspol
34.01%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
34.69%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-11.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 34.69%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=64, probability=34.69, confidence=45, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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