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Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Away Win

Odds @2.12 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence51%
Risk LevelHigh Risk
Kickoff20:00
Market Odds@2.12
Match Statistical Context

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Aluminij an overall score of 68 compared with 67 for Sheriff Tiraspol. The attacking ratings are 63 and 80, while form ratings stand at 68 and 67. This gives Aluminij the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.36 for Aluminij and 1.71 for Sheriff Tiraspol, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.07. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.86% and both teams to score at 72.98%.

Confidence

51%Low Confidence

Risk Level

High RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.10Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.36 - 1.71Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAluminij
33.89%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinSheriff Tiraspol
48.11%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.86%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.98%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability47.17%
Model Probability%
Value Edge3.83%
Value RatingFAIR
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Aluminij recorded 0 win(s), Sheriff Tiraspol recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 0.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Aluminij win probability is 33.89%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Sheriff Tiraspol win probability is 48.11%. Expected goals: Aluminij 1.36, Sheriff Tiraspol 1.71. Recent form: Aluminij DLLD (2 pts), Sheriff Tiraspol WDDWW (11 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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