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Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers

Champions League • Tuesday, July 21, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (49.78% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 48%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Ararat-Armenia an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for Shamrock Rovers. The attacking ratings are 71 and 82, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.77 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.34 for Shamrock Rovers, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 56.58% and both teams to score at 49.78%.

Confidence

48% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.80 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.77 - 1.34 Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinArarat-Armenia
42.07%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinShamrock Rovers
35.93%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
56.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
49.78%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-8.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 49.78%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=69, probability=49.78, confidence=48, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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