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Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers

Champions League Champions League • Tuesday, July 21, 2026 • 18:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @3.50 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence84%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff18:00
Market Odds@3.50
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Over 2.5 is the preferred angle, supported by strong goal probabilities and balanced xG. Shamrock Rovers hold a slight edge overall, but both sides project to score in a competitive Champions League tie.

Match Statistical Context

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Ararat-Armenia an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for Shamrock Rovers. The attacking ratings are 71 and 82, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.50 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.59 for Shamrock Rovers, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.22% and both teams to score at 80.26%.

Confidence

84%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.60Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.50 - 1.59Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinArarat-Armenia
35.60%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinShamrock Rovers
42.40%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
80.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability28.57%
Model Probability%
Value Edge51.43%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Ararat-Armenia win probability is 35.60%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Shamrock Rovers win probability is 42.40%. Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.5, Shamrock Rovers 1.59. Recent form: Ararat-Armenia LWDDW (8 pts), Shamrock Rovers WWLWW (12 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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