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AS Roma vs Atalanta

Serie A • Sunday, September 06, 2026 • 18:30

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

AS Roma vs Atalanta Pre-Match Data

AS Roma enter this Serie A fixture ranked 3 with 73 points from 38 matches, while Atalanta sit 7 with 59 points. AS Roma hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and AS Roma carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. AS Roma have scored 59 and conceded 31, giving them a goal difference of 28. Atalanta have scored 51 and conceded 36, with a goal difference of 15. On that measure, AS Roma show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: AS Roma's form string is WWWWW, while Atalanta's latest sequence is DLWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give AS Roma an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Atalanta. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives AS Roma the model-rating edge..

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 AS Roma vs Atalanta
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAS Roma
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAtalanta
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. AS Roma win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Atalanta win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.66, Atalanta 0.69. Recent form: AS Roma N/A (0 pts), Atalanta N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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