AS Roma vs Atalanta
Serie A • Sunday, September 06, 2026 • 18:30
AS Roma vs Atalanta Pre-Match Data
AS Roma enter this Serie A fixture ranked 3 with 73 points from 38 matches, while Atalanta sit 7 with 59 points. AS Roma hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and AS Roma carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. AS Roma have scored 59 and conceded 31, giving them a goal difference of 28. Atalanta have scored 51 and conceded 36, with a goal difference of 15. On that measure, AS Roma show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: AS Roma's form string is WWWWW, while Atalanta's latest sequence is DLWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give AS Roma an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Atalanta. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives AS Roma the model-rating edge..
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69 AS Roma vs AtalantaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. AS Roma win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Atalanta win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.66, Atalanta 0.69. Recent form: AS Roma N/A (0 pts), Atalanta N/A (0 pts).
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