AS Roma vs Fiorentina
Serie A • Sunday, August 23, 2026 • 18:30
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Pre-Match Data
AS Roma enter this Serie A fixture ranked 3 with 73 points from 38 matches, while Fiorentina sit 15 with 42 points. AS Roma hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and AS Roma carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. AS Roma have scored 59 and conceded 31, giving them a goal difference of 28. Fiorentina have scored 41 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of -9. On that measure, AS Roma show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: AS Roma's form string is WWWWW, while Fiorentina's latest sequence is DWDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give AS Roma an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Fiorentina. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge..
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69 AS Roma vs FiorentinaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. AS Roma win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Fiorentina win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.66, Fiorentina 0.69. Recent form: AS Roma N/A (0 pts), Fiorentina N/A (0 pts).
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