Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Premier League • Saturday, September 12, 2026 • 16:00
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Pre-Match Data
Aston Villa enter this Premier League fixture ranked 4 with 65 points from 38 matches, while Nottingham Forest sit 16 with 44 points. Aston Villa hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Aston Villa carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Aston Villa have scored 56 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of 7. Nottingham Forest have scored 48 and conceded 51, with a goal difference of -3. On that measure, Aston Villa show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Aston Villa's form string is WWDLL, while Nottingham Forest's latest sequence is DLDWW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Aston Villa an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Nottingham Forest. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Aston.
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69 Aston Villa vs Nottingham ForestProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Aston Villa win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Nottingham Forest win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Aston Villa 2.66, Nottingham Forest 0.69. Recent form: Aston Villa N/A (0 pts), Nottingham Forest N/A (0 pts).
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