Atalanta vs Bologna
Serie A • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 18:00
Atalanta vs Bologna Pre-Match Data
Atalanta enter this Serie A fixture ranked 7 with 59 points from 38 matches, while Bologna sit 8 with 56 points. Atalanta hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Atalanta carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Atalanta have scored 51 and conceded 36, giving them a goal difference of 15. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 3. On that measure, Atalanta show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Atalanta's form string is DLWDL, while Bologna's latest sequence is DWWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Atalanta an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Bologna. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Bologna the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.91.
Confidence
55%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
High RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
5.50Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.91 - 0.77Atalanta vs BolognaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Atalanta win probability is 55.13%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Bologna win probability is 29.62%. Expected goals: Atalanta 1.91, Bologna 0.77.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Serie A Predictions
Continue with other AI-rated fixtures from this competition.
Join The PuntVault Football Community
Get free daily predictions, AI insights, football updates and VIP alerts directly on Telegram.
Unlock Premium Betting Intelligence
Access protected picks, higher-value markets, advanced analysis and premium betting coverage.