Atalanta vs Bologna
Serie A • Sunday, August 30, 2026 • 18:30
Atalanta vs Bologna Pre-Match Data
Atalanta enter this Serie A fixture ranked 7 with 59 points from 38 matches, while Bologna sit 8 with 56 points. Atalanta hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Atalanta carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Atalanta have scored 51 and conceded 36, giving them a goal difference of 15. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 3. On that measure, Atalanta show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Atalanta's form string is DLWDL, while Bologna's latest sequence is DWWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Atalanta an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Bologna. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Bologna the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.85.
Confidence
64% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.85 - 1.27 Atalanta vs BolognaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Atalanta win probability is 43.99%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Bologna win probability is 34.01%. Expected goals: Atalanta 1.85, Bologna 1.27. Recent form: Atalanta N/A (0 pts), Bologna N/A (0 pts).
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