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Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 16:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence66%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff16:00
Market Odds@1.78
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Model data points to a corner-heavy match, with Over 8.5 Corners rated at 73.45%. The price of 1.75 offers a playable angle, though confidence is only moderate and the edge is not large enough to treat as low risk.

Match Statistical Context

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Atlètic Club d'Escaldes an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Mornar. The attacking ratings are 82 and 81, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.62 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and 1.48 for Mornar, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.40% and both teams to score at 76.40%.

Confidence

66%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.60Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.62 - 1.48Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
35.45%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinMornar
36.55%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
76.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge9.82%
Value RatingSTRONG
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win probability is 35.45%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Mornar win probability is 36.55%. Expected goals: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.62, Mornar 1.48. Recent form: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes WWLWW (12 pts), Mornar DWWWW (13 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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