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Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @2.15 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence74%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff20:45
Market Odds@2.15
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Strong goal indicators support Over 2.5, with high BTTS and balanced xG. Recent form and the market also lean toward an open contest, though lineups are unconfirmed.

Match Statistical Context

Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Mornar an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. The attacking ratings are 81 and 82, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.59 for Mornar and 1.50 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 71.04% and both teams to score at 81.27%.

Confidence

74%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.59 - 1.50Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMornar
34.96%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
37.04%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
81.27%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability46.51%
Model Probability%
Value Edge28.49%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Mornar recorded 0 win(s), Atlètic Club d'Escaldes recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 3.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 100.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 100.00%. Mornar win probability is 34.96%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win probability is 37.04%. Expected goals: Mornar 1.59, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.5. Recent form: Mornar LDWWW (10 pts), Atlètic Club d'Escaldes WWWLW (12 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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