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Auxerre vs Angers

Ligue 1 • Saturday, August 29, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Auxerre vs Angers Pre-Match Data

Auxerre enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 15 with 34 points from 34 matches, while Angers sit 13 with 36 points. Angers hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Angers carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -10. Angers have scored 29 and conceded 48, with a goal difference of -19. On that measure, Auxerre show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Auxerre's form string is WWWLD, while Angers's latest sequence is DDLLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Auxerre an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Angers. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Auxerre the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.02.

Confidence

64% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.02 - 1.12 Auxerre vs Angers
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAuxerre
50.45%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinAngers
31.55%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.68%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Auxerre win probability is 50.45%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Angers win probability is 31.55%. Expected goals: Auxerre 2.02, Angers 1.12. Recent form: Auxerre N/A (0 pts), Angers N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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