Auxerre vs Nice
Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 12, 2026 • 17:00
Auxerre vs Nice Pre-Match Data
Auxerre enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 15 with 34 points from 34 matches, while Nice sit 16 with 32 points. Auxerre hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Auxerre carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -10. Nice have scored 37 and conceded 60, with a goal difference of -23. On that measure, Auxerre show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Auxerre's form string is WWWLD, while Nice's latest sequence is WDDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Auxerre an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Nice. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.
Confidence
65% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.50 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.18 - 0.98 Auxerre vs NiceProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Auxerre win probability is 58.35%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Nice win probability is 29.65%. Expected goals: Auxerre 2.18, Nice 0.98. Recent form: Auxerre N/A (0 pts), Nice N/A (0 pts).
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