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Auxerre vs Nice

Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 12, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Auxerre vs Nice Pre-Match Data

Auxerre enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 15 with 34 points from 34 matches, while Nice sit 16 with 32 points. Auxerre hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Auxerre carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -10. Nice have scored 37 and conceded 60, with a goal difference of -23. On that measure, Auxerre show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Auxerre's form string is WWWLD, while Nice's latest sequence is WDDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Auxerre an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for Nice. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.

Confidence

65% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.18 - 0.98 Auxerre vs Nice
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAuxerre
58.35%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinNice
29.65%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.48%
BTTSBoth teams to score
71.72%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Auxerre win probability is 58.35%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Nice win probability is 29.65%. Expected goals: Auxerre 2.18, Nice 0.98. Recent form: Auxerre N/A (0 pts), Nice N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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