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Ballkani vs GAP Connah S Quay FC

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.43% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence50%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Ballkani vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Ballkani an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. The attacking ratings are 70 and 69, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Ballkani the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.64 for Ballkani and 1.46 for GAP Connah S Quay FC, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 52.40% and both teams to score at 57.43%.

Confidence

50%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.64 - 1.46Ballkani vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBallkani
35.92%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinGAP Connah S Quay FC
36.08%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
52.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.43%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-6.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.43%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=57.43, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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