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Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani

Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 64%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Bate Borisov an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for AF Elbasani. The attacking ratings are 67 and 69, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.73 for Bate Borisov and 1.38 for AF Elbasani, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 73.54%.

Confidence

64% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.73 - 1.38 Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBate Borisov
37.97%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinAF Elbasani
34.03%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.54%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Bate Borisov win probability is 37.97%, draw probability is 28.00%, and AF Elbasani win probability is 34.03%. Expected goals: Bate Borisov 1.73, AF Elbasani 1.38. Recent form: Bate Borisov N/A (0 pts), AF Elbasani N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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