Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani
Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 is supported by strong value metrics and both teams’ scoring profiles, though the market still leaves room for variance. AF Elbasani’s recent form and higher xG edge make this a live goal-oriented play.
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Bate Borisov an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for AF Elbasani. The attacking ratings are 67 and 69, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives AF Elbasani the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.36 for Bate Borisov and 1.71 for AF Elbasani, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.07. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 64.86% and both teams to score at 81.03%.
Confidence
86%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.80Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.36 - 1.71Bate Borisov vs AF ElbasaniProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Bate Borisov recorded 0 win(s), AF Elbasani recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 100.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Bate Borisov win probability is 33.87%, draw probability is 18.00%, and AF Elbasani win probability is 48.13%. Expected goals: Bate Borisov 1.36, AF Elbasani 1.71. Recent form: Bate Borisov DLLL (1 pts), AF Elbasani DWWW (10 pts).
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