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Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:30

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.60 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence84%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:30
Market Odds@1.60
Match Statistical Context

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Beitar Jerusalem an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for AEK Larnaca. The attacking ratings are 73 and 72, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.32 for Beitar Jerusalem and 1.74 for AEK Larnaca, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.06. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.68% and both teams to score at 72.84%.

Confidence

84%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.32 - 1.74Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBeitar Jerusalem
32.96%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinAEK Larnaca
49.04%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.68%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.84%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability62.50%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.50%
Value RatingFAIR
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 2 available meetings, Beitar Jerusalem recorded 1 win(s), AEK Larnaca recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 0.50 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Beitar Jerusalem win probability is 32.96%, draw probability is 18.00%, and AEK Larnaca win probability is 49.04%. Expected goals: Beitar Jerusalem 1.32, AEK Larnaca 1.74. Recent form: Beitar Jerusalem WDWDD (9 pts), AEK Larnaca LDLLW (4 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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