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Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (65.56% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence52%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff21:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Benfica an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for FC ST. Gallen. The attacking ratings are 75 and 74, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.79 for Benfica and 1.32 for FC ST. Gallen, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.34% and both teams to score at 65.56%.

Confidence

52%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.20Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.79 - 1.32Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBenfica
42.66%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinFC ST. Gallen
35.34%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
78.34%
BTTSBoth teams to score
65.56%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability65.56%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-18.75%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 65.56%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=65.56, confidence=52, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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