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Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.18 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence82%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff21:00
Market Odds@1.18
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Strong goal environment with Over 2.5 rated elite value. BTTS also profiles well, supported by high combined xG and a 72.22% over probability.

Match Statistical Context

Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Benfica an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for FC ST. Gallen. The attacking ratings are 75 and 74, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.79 for Benfica and 1.32 for FC ST. Gallen, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.34% and both teams to score at 87.51%.

Confidence

82%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.60Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.79 - 1.32Benfica vs FC ST. Gallen
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBenfica
42.66%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinFC ST. Gallen
35.34%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
78.34%
BTTSBoth teams to score
87.51%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability84.75%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-18.75%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Benfica recorded 0 win(s), FC ST. Gallen recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 3.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 100.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 100.00%. Benfica win probability is 42.66%, draw probability is 22.00%, and FC ST. Gallen win probability is 35.34%. Expected goals: Benfica 1.79, FC ST. Gallen 1.32. Recent form: Benfica WLWLW (9 pts), FC ST. Gallen WWLLW (9 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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