Bologna vs Lazio
Serie A • Sunday, August 23, 2026 • 18:30
Bologna vs Lazio Pre-Match Data
Bologna enter this Serie A fixture ranked 8 with 56 points from 38 matches, while Lazio sit 9 with 54 points. Bologna hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Bologna carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of 3. Lazio have scored 41 and conceded 40, with a goal difference of 1. On that measure, Bologna show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Bologna's form string is DWWDL, while Lazio's latest sequence is WLLWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Bologna an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Lazio. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Bologna the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.98.
Confidence
64% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.98 - 1.16 Bologna vs LazioProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Bologna win probability is 49.45%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Lazio win probability is 32.55%. Expected goals: Bologna 1.98, Lazio 1.16. Recent form: Bologna N/A (0 pts), Lazio N/A (0 pts).
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