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Bologna vs Sassuolo

Serie A • Sunday, September 06, 2026 • 18:30

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Bologna vs Sassuolo Pre-Match Data

Bologna enter this Serie A fixture ranked 8 with 56 points from 38 matches, while Sassuolo sit 11 with 49 points. Bologna hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Bologna carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of 3. Sassuolo have scored 46 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of -4. On that measure, Bologna show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Bologna's form string is DWWDL, while Sassuolo's latest sequence is LLLWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Bologna an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Sassuolo. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Bologna the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.39.

Confidence

71% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.10 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.39 - 0.79 Bologna vs Sassuolo
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBologna
64.16%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinSassuolo
23.84%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.84%
BTTSBoth teams to score
61.06%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Bologna win probability is 64.16%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Sassuolo win probability is 23.84%. Expected goals: Bologna 2.39, Sassuolo 0.79. Recent form: Bologna N/A (0 pts), Sassuolo N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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