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Boulogne vs Nancy

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (77.91% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 55%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Boulogne vs Nancy Pre-Match Data

Boulogne enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 15 with 36 points from 34 matches, while Nancy sit 14 with 37 points. Nancy hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Nancy carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Boulogne have scored 34 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of -15. Nancy have scored 35 and conceded 52, with a goal difference of -17. On that measure, Boulogne show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Boulogne's form string is LLLLD, while Nancy's latest sequence is WWDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Boulogne an overall score of 68 compared with 75 for Nancy. The attacking ratings are 69 and 81, while form ratings stand at 68 and 75. This gives Nancy the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78.

Confidence

55% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.27 Boulogne vs Nancy
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBoulogne
20.62%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinNancy
67.38%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
77.91%
BTTSBoth teams to score
58.53%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability77.91%
Model Probability%
Value Edge19.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 77.91%. Quality gate: corners quality=79, probability=77.91, confidence=55, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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