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Boulogne vs Nancy

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Boulogne vs Nancy Pre-Match Data

Boulogne enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 15 with 36 points from 34 matches, while Nancy sit 14 with 37 points. Nancy hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Nancy carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Boulogne have scored 34 and conceded 49, giving them a goal difference of -15. Nancy have scored 35 and conceded 52, with a goal difference of -17. On that measure, Boulogne show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Boulogne's form string is LLLLD, while Nancy's latest sequence is WWDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.42 for Boulogne and 1.66 for Nancy, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.08. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.04% and both teams to score at 73.12%.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.42 - 1.66 Boulogne vs Nancy
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBoulogne
33.65%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinNancy
44.35%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.12%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Boulogne win probability is 33.65%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Nancy win probability is 44.35%. Expected goals: Boulogne 1.42, Nancy 1.66. Recent form: Boulogne N/A (0 pts), Nancy N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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