Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Premier League • Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 16:00
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Pre-Match Data
Bournemouth enter this Premier League fixture ranked 6 with 57 points from 38 matches, while Sunderland sit 7 with 54 points. Bournemouth hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Bournemouth carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Bournemouth have scored 58 and conceded 54, giving them a goal difference of 4. Sunderland have scored 42 and conceded 48, with a goal difference of -6. On that measure, Bournemouth show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Bournemouth's form string is DDWWD, while Sunderland's latest sequence is WWDDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Bournemouth an overall score of 70 compared with 71 for Sunderland. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 71. This gives Sunderland the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.96.
Confidence
64% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.96 - 1.17 Bournemouth vs SunderlandProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Bournemouth win probability is 49.08%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Sunderland win probability is 32.92%. Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.96, Sunderland 1.17. Recent form: Bournemouth N/A (0 pts), Sunderland N/A (0 pts).
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