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Cambuur vs Excelsior

Eredivisie Eredivisie • Friday, August 07, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Away Win

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence79%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff20:00
Market Odds@1.75
Match Statistical Context

Cambuur vs Excelsior Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Cambuur an overall score of 68 compared with 70 for Excelsior. The attacking ratings are 75 and 85, while form ratings stand at 68 and 70. This gives Excelsior the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Cambuur and 2.36 for Excelsior, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.80% and both teams to score at 67.78%.

Confidence

79%High Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36Cambuur vs Excelsior
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinCambuur
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinExcelsior
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.80%
BTTSBoth teams to score
67.78%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge21.86%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 5 available meetings, Cambuur recorded 2 win(s), Excelsior recorded 3 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.60 goals, with BTTS landing in 40.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 40.00%. Cambuur win probability is 20.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Excelsior win probability is 68.00%. Expected goals: Cambuur 0.78, Excelsior 2.36. Recent form: Cambuur LWWLW (9 pts), Excelsior WWWWW (15 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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