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Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Champions League • Tuesday, July 28, 2026 • 20:15

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (60.13% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 51%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:15
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Celje an overall score of 68 compared with 71 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The attacking ratings are 71 and 75, while form ratings stand at 68 and 71. This gives Egnatia Rrogozhinë the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.18 for Celje and 1.87 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 64.50% and both teams to score at 60.13%.

Confidence

51% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.10 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.18 - 1.87 Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinCelje
31.60%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinEgnatia Rrogozhinë
56.40%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
64.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
60.13%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability60.13%
Model Probability%
Value Edge8.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 60.13%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=72, probability=60.13, confidence=51, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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