CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
Europa League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00
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CSKA Sofia hold a modest edge at home, with the model backing Home or Draw at 66% and strong value at 1.78. The numbers suggest a competitive tie, but CSKA’s slightly higher win probability and xG support a cautious home-side angle.
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give CSKA Sofia an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Derry City. The attacking ratings are 75 and 74, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives CSKA Sofia the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.86 for CSKA Sofia and 1.27 for Derry City, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.13. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.94% and both teams to score at 80.82%.
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