CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
Europa League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 20:00
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give CSKA Sofia an overall score of 70 compared with 71 for Qarabag. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 71. This gives Qarabag the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.67 for CSKA Sofia and 1.43 for Qarabag, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.40% and both teams to score at 76.40%.
Confidence
74%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.50Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.67 - 1.43CSKA Sofia vs QarabagProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 3 available meetings, CSKA Sofia recorded 0 win(s), Qarabag recorded 2 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 0.67 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. CSKA Sofia win probability is 36.73%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Qarabag win probability is 35.27%. Expected goals: CSKA Sofia 1.67, Qarabag 1.43. Recent form: CSKA Sofia WDDWW (11 pts), Qarabag DWWLL (7 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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