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Dečić vs FK Liepaja

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence64%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Dečić vs FK Liepaja Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dečić an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for FK Liepaja. The attacking ratings are 69 and 64, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives FK Liepaja the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.99 for Dečić and 1.15 for FK Liepaja, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 73.96%.

Confidence

64%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.99 - 1.15Dečić vs FK Liepaja
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDečić
49.66%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinFK Liepaja
32.34%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.96%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Dečić win probability is 49.66%, draw probability is 18.00%, and FK Liepaja win probability is 32.34%. Expected goals: Dečić 1.99, FK Liepaja 1.15. Recent form: Dečić N/A (0 pts), FK Liepaja N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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