Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Derry City an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for CSKA Sofia. The attacking ratings are 74 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives CSKA Sofia the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.68 for Derry City and 1.43 for CSKA Sofia, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 73.54%.
Confidence
64%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.40Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.68 - 1.43Derry City vs CSKA SofiaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Derry City win probability is 36.77%, draw probability is 28.00%, and CSKA Sofia win probability is 35.23%. Expected goals: Derry City 1.68, CSKA Sofia 1.43. Recent form: Derry City N/A (0 pts), CSKA Sofia N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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