Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Derry City an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for CSKA Sofia. The attacking ratings are 74 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives CSKA Sofia the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.68 for Derry City and 1.43 for CSKA Sofia, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.12% and both teams to score at 73.54%.
Confidence
54%Low ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
5.40Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.68 - 1.43Derry City vs CSKA SofiaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 72.12%. Quality gate: corners quality=76, probability=72.12, confidence=54, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.
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