Derry City vs HNK Rijeka
Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:30
Derry City vs HNK Rijeka Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Derry City an overall score of 69 compared with 72 for HNK Rijeka. The attacking ratings are 74 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 72. This gives HNK Rijeka the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.95 for Derry City and 2.07 for HNK Rijeka, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.02. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 67.96% and both teams to score at 52.64%.
Confidence
49%Low ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
4.90Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.95 - 2.07Derry City vs HNK RijekaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 52.64%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=52.64, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.
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