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Derry City vs HNK Rijeka

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:30

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.80 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence92%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:30
Market Odds@1.80
Match Statistical Context

Derry City vs HNK Rijeka Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Derry City an overall score of 69 compared with 72 for HNK Rijeka. The attacking ratings are 74 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 72. This gives HNK Rijeka the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.95 for Derry City and 2.07 for HNK Rijeka, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.02. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 67.96% and both teams to score at 74.30%.

Confidence

92%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.95 - 2.07Derry City vs HNK Rijeka
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDerry City
25.56%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinHNK Rijeka
62.44%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
67.96%
BTTSBoth teams to score
74.30%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability55.56%
Model Probability%
Value Edge13.44%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Derry City recorded 0 win(s), HNK Rijeka recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Derry City win probability is 25.56%, draw probability is 12.00%, and HNK Rijeka win probability is 62.44%. Expected goals: Derry City 0.95, HNK Rijeka 2.07. Recent form: Derry City LWLLL (3 pts), HNK Rijeka WWWWW (15 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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