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Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.60 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 68%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.60
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Model data strongly supports goals in this Conference League tie, with Over 2.5 rated as an elite-value, low-risk angle. Both teams show solid recent scoring form and combined xG points to an open match.

Match Statistical Context

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dinamo Tbilisi an overall score of 71 compared with 71 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The attacking ratings are 73 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 71. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.57 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.52 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.22% and both teams to score at 73.26%.

Confidence

68% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.80 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.57 - 1.52 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDinamo Tbilisi
34.51%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinFK Zalgiris Vilnius
37.49%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability62.50%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.50%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi recorded 0 win(s), FK Zalgiris Vilnius recorded 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 0.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Dinamo Tbilisi win probability is 34.51%, draw probability is 28.00%, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius win probability is 37.49%. Expected goals: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.57, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.52. Recent form: Dinamo Tbilisi DWDLW (8 pts), FK Zalgiris Vilnius WWWDL (10 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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