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Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris

Champions League • Tuesday, August 04, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (62.34% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 51%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dinamo Zagreb an overall score of 71 compared with 72 for Kauno Žalgiris. The attacking ratings are 85 and 74, while form ratings stand at 71 and 72. This gives Kauno Žalgiris the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.66 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.44 for Kauno Žalgiris, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.40% and both teams to score at 62.34%.

Confidence

51% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.10 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.66 - 1.44 Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDinamo Zagreb
36.36%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinKauno Žalgiris
35.64%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
62.34%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability62.34%
Model Probability%
Value Edge20.49%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 62.34%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=73, probability=62.34, confidence=51, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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