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Dukagjini vs FC Lugano

Conference League • Wednesday, July 29, 2026 • 16:30

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.43% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 16:30
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dukagjini an overall score of 74 compared with 76 for FC Lugano. The attacking ratings are 77 and 79, while form ratings stand at 74 and 76. This gives FC Lugano the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.57 for Dukagjini and 1.52 for FC Lugano, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 69.22% and both teams to score at 57.43%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.57 - 1.52 Dukagjini vs FC Lugano
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDukagjini
34.54%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinFC Lugano
37.46%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
69.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.43%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.43%
Model Probability%
Value Edge10.50%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.43%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=57.43, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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