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Dukagjini vs FC Lugano

Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (78.86% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 55%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dukagjini an overall score of 74 compared with 81 for FC Lugano. The attacking ratings are 77 and 85, while form ratings stand at 74 and 81. This gives FC Lugano the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.21 for Dukagjini and 1.84 for FC Lugano, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.86% and both teams to score at 75.70%.

Confidence

55% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.21 - 1.84 Dukagjini vs FC Lugano
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDukagjini
32.38%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinFC Lugano
55.62%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
78.86%
BTTSBoth teams to score
75.70%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-2.14%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 78.86%. Quality gate: corners quality=78, probability=78.86, confidence=55, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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