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Dukagjini vs FC Lugano

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (73.27% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence54%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Dukagjini an overall score of 68 compared with 72 for FC Lugano. The attacking ratings are 77 and 79, while form ratings stand at 68 and 72. This gives FC Lugano the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.35 for Dukagjini and 1.71 for FC Lugano, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.06. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 64.68% and both teams to score at 73.27%.

Confidence

54%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.35 - 1.71Dukagjini vs FC Lugano
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDukagjini
33.81%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinFC Lugano
48.19%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
64.68%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.27%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability73.27%
Model Probability%
Value Edge51.62%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 73.27%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=77, probability=73.27, confidence=54, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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