Dukagjini vs FC Lugano
Conference League • Wednesday, July 29, 2026 • 16:30
Match Overview
Over 2.5 looks well supported by the model, with strong BTTS and balanced xG on both sides. Lugano are marginally stronger, but Dukagjini’s scoring profile keeps this in a higher-tempo range.
Dukagjini vs FC Lugano Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Dukagjini an overall score of 68 compared with 72 for FC Lugano. The attacking ratings are 77 and 79, while form ratings stand at 68 and 72. This gives FC Lugano the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.35 for Dukagjini and 1.71 for FC Lugano, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.06. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 64.68% and both teams to score at 75.84%.
Confidence
88%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.70Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.35 - 1.71Dukagjini vs FC LuganoProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Dukagjini recorded 0 win(s), FC Lugano recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 1.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Dukagjini win probability is 33.81%, draw probability is 18.00%, and FC Lugano win probability is 48.19%. Expected goals: Dukagjini 1.35, FC Lugano 1.71. Recent form: Dukagjini LLDWW (7 pts), FC Lugano WWLWW (12 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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