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Dunkerque vs Grenoble

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (53.99% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Dunkerque vs Grenoble Pre-Match Data

Dunkerque enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 10 with 43 points from 34 matches, while Grenoble sit 12 with 39 points. Dunkerque hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Dunkerque carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Dunkerque have scored 53 and conceded 45, giving them a goal difference of 8. Grenoble have scored 33 and conceded 39, with a goal difference of -6. On that measure, Dunkerque show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Dunkerque's form string is LLWLL, while Grenoble's latest sequence is WWDLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Dunkerque an overall score of 73 compared with 71 for Grenoble. The attacking ratings are 77 and 73, while form ratings stand at 73 and 71. This gives Dunkerque the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.21.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.21 - 0.96 Dunkerque vs Grenoble
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDunkerque
59.15%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinGrenoble
28.85%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
64.26%
BTTSBoth teams to score
53.99%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability53.99%
Model Probability%
Value Edge12.82%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 53.99%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=53.99, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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