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Dunkerque vs Montpellier

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 21, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Dunkerque vs Montpellier Pre-Match Data

Dunkerque enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 10 with 43 points from 34 matches, while Montpellier sit 8 with 51 points. Montpellier hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Montpellier carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Dunkerque have scored 53 and conceded 45, giving them a goal difference of 8. Montpellier have scored 41 and conceded 31, with a goal difference of 10. On that measure, Montpellier show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Dunkerque's form string is LLWLL, while Montpellier's latest sequence is DLWWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.21 for Dunkerque and 1.84 for Montpellier, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.50% and both teams to score at 72.70%.

Confidence

62% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.20 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.21 - 1.84 Dunkerque vs Montpellier
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinDunkerque
32.35%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinMontpellier
55.65%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.70%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Dunkerque win probability is 32.35%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Montpellier win probability is 55.65%. Expected goals: Dunkerque 1.21, Montpellier 1.84. Recent form: Dunkerque N/A (0 pts), Montpellier N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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