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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje

Champions League Champions League • Wednesday, July 22, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @3.95 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence90%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff21:00
Market Odds@3.95
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are rated for a home win, supported by stronger recent form, higher ELO, and superior expected goals. The market also points toward goals, with Over 2.5 and BTTS both carrying strong probabilities.

Match Statistical Context

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Egnatia Rrogozhinë an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Celje. The attacking ratings are 75 and 71, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Egnatia Rrogozhinë the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.26 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0.91 for Celje, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.17. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.66% and both teams to score at 80.74%.

Confidence

90%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.26 - 0.91Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinEgnatia Rrogozhinë
60.59%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinCelje
27.41%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.66%
BTTSBoth teams to score
80.74%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability25.32%
Model Probability%
Value Edge68.68%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Egnatia Rrogozhinë win probability is 60.59%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Celje win probability is 27.41%. Expected goals: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2.26, Celje 0.91. Recent form: Egnatia Rrogozhinë WDWWW (13 pts), Celje DDWDL (6 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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