Europa vs Shkendija
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Europa vs Shkendija profiles as a goals-leaning fixture, with Over 2.5 supported by a 62.3% model probability and strong value at 1.78. BTTS is also live, while Europa hold the clearer win edge on ELO and xG.
Europa vs Shkendija Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Europa an overall score of 68 compared with 71 for Shkendija. The attacking ratings are 80 and 75, while form ratings stand at 68 and 71. This gives Shkendija the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.52 for Europa and 0.69 for Shkendija, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.21. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 70.38% and both teams to score at 59.66%.
Confidence
74%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.40Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.52 - 0.69Europa vs ShkendijaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Europa win probability is 67.19%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Shkendija win probability is 20.81%. Expected goals: Europa 2.52, Shkendija 0.69. Recent form: Europa WLDWW (10 pts), Shkendija DLLWL (4 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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