Europa vs Shkendija
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:30
Match Overview
Europa are priced as strong favourites, with the model leaning to a 2-1 home win. The numbers support a home edge, but Shkendija’s scoring chance keeps this from being a clean shutout call.
Europa vs Shkendija Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Europa an overall score of 68 compared with 71 for Shkendija. The attacking ratings are 80 and 75, while form ratings stand at 68 and 71. This gives Shkendija the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.52 for Europa and 0.69 for Shkendija, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.21. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 70.38% and both teams to score at 59.66%.
Confidence
76%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
76.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.52 - 0.69Europa vs ShkendijaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
XGBoost Correct Score Engine v1 predicts 2-1. Model probability: 55.59%. Top scorelines: 2-1 (61.04%), 1-0 (12.39%), 3-1 (11.47%). Quality gate: correct_score quality=70, probability=55.59, confidence=76, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.
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