Everton vs Chelsea
Premier League • Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 16:00
Everton vs Chelsea Pre-Match Data
Everton enter this Premier League fixture ranked 13 with 49 points from 38 matches, while Chelsea sit 10 with 52 points. Chelsea hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Chelsea carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Everton have scored 47 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -3. Chelsea have scored 58 and conceded 52, with a goal difference of 6. On that measure, Chelsea show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Everton's form string is LLDDL, while Chelsea's latest sequence is LWDLL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Everton an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Chelsea. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Chelsea the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.21.
Confidence
62% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.20 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.21 - 1.84 Everton vs ChelseaProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Everton win probability is 32.47%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Chelsea win probability is 55.53%. Expected goals: Everton 1.21, Chelsea 1.84. Recent form: Everton N/A (0 pts), Chelsea N/A (0 pts).
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